Yuval Noah Harari:
Yuval Noah Harari: An Urgent Warning They Hope You Ignore. More War Is Coming! - YouTube
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Transcript:
(00:00) we are now in a new era of wars and unless you reestablish order fast then we are doomed you've all know Harari one of the brightest Minds on planet Earth historian a bestselling author of some of the most influential non-fiction books in the world today I think we are very near the end of our species because people often spend so much effort trying to gain something without understanding the consequences for example we will get to a life where you can live in definitely but realizing that you have a chance to live forever but if there is
(00:35) an accident you die the people who will be in that situation will be at a level of anxiety and Terror unlike anything that we know then you have artificial intelligence and the world is is not ready for it it's the first technology in history that can make decisions by itself and take power away from us to hack human beings manipulate our behavior and making all these decisions for us or about us whether to give you a loan whether to give you a mortgage dating us shaping your romantic life but real problem is that increasingly the
(01:10) humans at the top could be puppets when the most consequential decisions are made by algorithms Global financial decisions Wars this is extremely dangerous but it's not inevitable humans can change it but with what's to come are you optimistic about the future I'm very worried about two things first of all quick one this is really really fascinating to me on the back end of our YouTube channel it says that 69.
(01:39) 9% of you that watch this channel frequently over the lifetime of this channel haven't yet hit the Subscribe button I just wanted to ask you a favor it helps this channel so much if you choose to just subscribe helps us scale the guest helps us scale the production and it makes this show bigger so if I could ask you for one favor if you've watched this show before and you've enjoyed it and you like this episode that you're currently watching could you please hit the Subscribe button thank you so much much and I will repay that
(02:02) gesture by making sure that everything we do here gets better and better and better and better that is a promise I'm willing to make you do we have a [Music] deal you V I have three of your books here and these are three books that sent a huge tidal wave a ripple through Society with these books and with all of the work that you're doing now with the lectures you give the the interviews you give what is your mission what what is the sort of if I was to be able to summarize what your Collective mission
(02:37) is with your work what is that it's to clarify and to focus the public conversation the global conversation uh to help people focus on the most important challenges that are facing humankind and also to bring at least a little bit of clarity to the collective and and to the individual mind I mean one of my main messages in all the book is that our minds are like factories that constantly produce stories and fictions that then come between us and the world and we often spend our lives interacting with fictions that we or that other people
(03:19) created uh with completely losing touch W with with reality and my job and I think the job of historians more generally is to show us a way out inherent in much of your work is what feels like a warning and I've I've watched hundreds of videos that you've produced or interviews you've done um all around the world and it feels like you're trying to warn us about something multiple things mhm if my estimation there is correct what is the warning much of what we take to to be real is is is fictions and and the
(04:04) reason that fictions are so Central in in human history is because we control the planet and rather than the chimpanzees or the elephants or any of the other animals because not because of some kind of in individual genius that each of us has but because we can cooperate much better than any other animal we can cooperate in much larger numbers and also much more flexibly and the reason we can do that is because we can create and believe in fictional stories because every large scale human coroporation whether a religion or
(04:43) nations or corporations are based on mythologies on on fictions again I'm not just talking about Gods this is the easy example money is also a fiction that we created corporations are a fiction they exist only in our minds uh even lawyers would tell you that corporations are legal fictions and this is on on the one hand such a source of of immense power but on the other hand again the danger is that we completely lose touch with reality and we are manipulated by all these fictions by all these stories again stories are not not bad they are
(05:25) tools as long as we use them to cooperate and to help each other that's wonderful um money is not bad if we didn't have money we would not have a trade Network we everybody would have maybe with their friends and family to to produce everything by themselves like the chimpanzees do uh the fact that we can enjoy uh food and clothing and medicines and enter entertainment created by people on the other side of the world is largely because of money but if we forget that this is a tool that we created in order to help
(06:00) ourselves and instead uh this tool kind of enslaves us and runs our life and um you know I'm now just back home in Israel there is a terrible War being waged and most wars in history and also now they are about stories they're about fictions people think that humans fight over the same things that wolves or chimpanzees fight about that we fight about territory that we fight about food it sometimes happens but most wars in history were not really about territory or food there is enough land for instance between the Jordan River and
(06:43) the Mediterranean to build houses and schools and hospitals for everybody and there is certainly enough food there is no shortage of food but people have different mythologies different stories in their minds and they can't find a common story they can they can agree about and this is at the root of most UN conflicts and being able to tell the difference between what is a fiction in our own mind and what is the reality this is a crucial skill and we are not getting better at finding this difference as time time
(07:22) goes on and also with new technologies which I write about a lot like artificial intelligence the fantasy that AI will answer our questions will find the truth for us we'll tell us the difference between fiction and reality this is this is just another fiction I mean AI can do many things better than humans but for reasons that we can discuss I don't think that it will necessarily be better than humans at finding the truth or uh um uncovering reality it strikes me that the the thing that made us successful you know this ability to
(08:04) believe in fictions and I use the word successful you know powerful powerful yes we took over the world the thing that made us powerful could well be the thing that makes us powerless in the sense that our ability to believe in fictions and stories create a society that would potentially lead to our powerlessness that's kind of one of the the the message is that when I connect the dots throughout your work and you look off into the future um I'm left feeling and even you think about the modern problems we have those are
(08:39) typically consequences of our ability to believe in stories yeah and to believe in fictions and if you play that forward 100 years maybe 200 years you don't believe that um you believe we'll be the last of our species right I think we are very near the kind of end of our species it doesn't necessarily mean that we'll be destroyed in some huge nuclear war or something like that uh it could very well mean that we'll just change ourselves using uh bioengineering and using Ai and brain computer interfaces we will change
(09:15) ourselves to such an extent that we'll become something completely different something far more different from present day Homo sapiens than we today are different from chimpanzees or from Neanderthals I mean basically you know um you have a very deep connection still with all the other animals because we're completely organic we are organic entities our psychology our social habits they are the product of organic evolution and M and most specifically Maman Evolution over tens of millions of years so we share so much of our
(09:57) psychology and of our kind of social habits with chimpanzees and with with other other mammals looking a 100 years or 200 years to the Future maybe we are no longer organic or not fully organic um you could have a world dominated by cyborgs which are entities combining organic with inorganic parts for instance with brain computer interfaces um you could have completely nonorganic entities so all the Legacy and also all the limitations of 4 billion years of organic evolution might be irrelevant or inapplicable do you think to the beings
(10:43) of the future what bet would you make because you're saying maybe here I don't know I mean we could destroy ourselves I think there is a greater I mean to completely destroy every last single human in the world it is possible given the technology ology that we Now command but it's it's very difficult um I think it's there is a greater chance and again this is just speculation no nobody really knows but I think I mean lots of people could suffer terribly but I think it's more likely that uh uh some people will survive and
(11:21) then will undergo radical changes so it's not that humanity is completely destroyed it's just transformed into into something else again just to give an example of what we are talking about organic beings like us need to be in one place at any one time we are now here in this room that's it um if you kind of disconnect our hands or our feet from our body we die or at least we lose control of of these I mean and this is true of all organic entities of plants of of animals now with cyborgs or with inorganic entities this is no
(12:06) longer true they could be spread over time time and space I mean if you find a way and people are working on finding ways to directly connect brains with computers or brains with bionic Parts there is there is no essential reason that all the parts of the be of of the entity need to be in the same room at the same time as you said that you know I started thinking a little bit about neuralink and what Elon Musk is doing with interfacing us with computers but then I had a secondary thought which is if there could be two Stevens one here
(12:40) and then one in the United States right now because we're connected to the same computer interface theoretically I could hack Jack over there I could hack his interface so there could be three Stevens cuz I hack Jack and then I hack you and then there's four and then I could eventually try and hack the entire parity of the world or a country yeah and there could basically be one one once you can connect directly brains to computers first of all I'm not sure if it's possible I mean people like
(13:10) Elon Musk in neurolink they tell us it's possible I'm I'm I'm I'm still waiting for the evidence I don't think it's impossible but I think it's much more difficult than than than people assume partly because we are very far from understanding the brain and we are even further away from understanding the mind we assumed the brain somehow produces the mind but this is just an assumption we still don't have a working model a working theory for how it happens but if it happens if it is possible to directly
(13:42) connect brains and computers and integrate them into these kinds of cyborgs nobody has any idea what happens next how the world would look like and it is certainly makes it a plausible if again if this is this if you reach that point that you could have an interbrain net the same way that lots of computers are connected together to form the internet if you can connect also brains and computers directly why can't we then connect an interbrain net which connects lots of brains as as you as you as you described again I have no idea what it
(14:24) means I think this is the point when the way that our organic brains understand reality uh even our imagination in the end is the product as far as we can tell of organic biochemistry do you think so we we are not equipped I think to have a kind of serious discussion of what a nonorganic brain or a nonorganic mind might be capable of of doing how it how it would look like and all the basic assumptions that we have about brains and minds they are limited to the organic types how do you feel about artificial intelligence and what's
(15:14) happening this year has been a real sort of landmark here in the a big leap forward for artificial intelligence the conversation public awareness um the technology itself the investment in the technology which is always you know a a very important indicator of what's to come yeah how do how do you as someone that spent a lot of time thinking about this emotionally how do you feel about it uh very concerned I mean it's moving even faster than I expected uh when I wrote say homod deos in 2016 I didn't
(15:48) think we would reach this this point so quickly where we are at 2023 and the world is is not ready for it and again it's not AI has enormous positive potential we and and this this should be clear and there is no chance of just Banning AI or stopping all development in AI I tend to speak a lot about the danger simply because you have enough people out there all the entrepreneurs and uh all the investors talking about the positive potential so it's kind of my job to talk about the negative potentials the dangers but there is a
(16:29) lot of positive potential and uh humans are incredibly capable in terms of adapting to new situations I don't think it's impossible for Human Society to adapt to the new AI reality the only thing is it takes time and apparently we don't have that time and people compared to previous big historical revolutions like the invention of Prince or the invention of or the the Industrial Revolution and you hear people say yes when the Industrial Revolution happened in the 19th century so you had all these Pro Prophecies of
(17:10) Doom about how industry or in the new factories and the steam engines and electricity how how they will destroy Humanity or destroy our psychology or whatever and in the end it was okay and when I hear these kinds of comparisons as as a Ian I'm very worried about two things first of all they underestimate the magnitude of the AI Revolution AI is nothing like print it's nothing like uh the industrial revolution of the 19th century it's far far bigger there is a fundamental difference between Ai and the printing
(17:49) press of the steam engine of the radio or any previous technology we invented the difference is it's the first technology in history that can make decisions by itself and that can create new ideas by itself a printing press or a radio set could not write new music or uh new speeches and could not decide what to print and what to broadcast this was always the job of humans this is why the printing press and the radio said in the end empowered Humanity that you now have more power to disseminate your ideas years AI is
(18:30) different it can potentially take power away from us it can decide it's already deciding by itself what to broadcast on social media it's algorithms deciding what to promote and increasingly it also creates much of the content by itself it can compose entirely new music it can compose entirely new political manifestos holy books whatever um so it's a much bigger challenge to handle that kind it's it's an independent agent in a way that radio and the printing press were not the other thing I find worrying about the
(19:13) comparison with say the Industrial Revolution is that yes in the end in a way it was okay but to get there we had to pass through some terrible experiments when the Industrial Revolution came along nobody knew how to build a a benign industrial society so people experimented one big experiment was European imperialism many people thought that to build an industrial society means building an empire unless you have an Empire that controls the sources of the raw materials you need Iron Coal rubber cotton whatever and unless you
(19:58) control the markets you will not be able to survive as a industrial society and there was a very close link also conceptually between building an industrial society and building an empire and all the leaders the the the initial leaders of the Industrial Revolution built empires not just Britain and and France also small countries like Belgium also Japan when it joined the Industrial Revolution it immediately set about conquering an Empire another terrible experiment was Soviet communism they also thought how
(20:38) do you build an industrial society you build a Communist dictatorship and it was the same as Nazism you cannot separate communism and Nazism from the Industrial Revolution you could not have created a communist or a Nazi totalitarian regime in the 18th century if you don't have trains if if you don't have electricity if you don't have radio you cannot create a totalitarian regime so these are just a few examples of the failed experiments you know you try to adapt to something completely new you very often uh um experiment and some
(21:16) of your experiments fail and if we now have to go in the 21st century through the same process okay we now have not radio and and trains we now have ai and bioengineering and we again need to experiment perhaps with new empires perhaps with new totalitarian regimes in order to discover how to build a benign AI Society then we are doomed as a spey we will not be able to survive another round of imperialist wars and totalitarian regimes so anybody who thinks hey we've passed through the Industrial Revolution with all all the
(21:58) Prophecies of Doom in the end we got it right no if as a historian I I would say that I would give Humanity a c minus on how we adapted to the Industrial Revolution if we get a c minus again in the 21st century that's the end of us it seems quite trivial to many that the AI revolution has seemed to begun with large language models and when I read sapiens this book I have here language was so Central to what made us powerful as Homo sapiens in the beginning was the word I didn't say it you know it's it's a
(22:39) very very widespread idea that um ultimately our power is based on Words uh the reason that we control the world and not the chimpanze or or the elephants is because we had a much more sophisticated language which enabled us again to tell these stor stories stories about ancestral spirits and about Guardian gods and about our tribe our nation which formed the basis for cooperation and because we could cooperate you could have a thousand people a thousand humans cooperating in a tribe whereas the neand could cooperate only on the level of say
(23:20) 50 or 100 individuals this is why weule the world and not in theal and you look at every subsequent kind of growth in human power and uh you see the same thing that uh ultimately you tell a story with words and language is like the master key that unlocks all the doors of our civilization whether it's Cathedrals or whether it's Banks they're based on language on stories we tell that again it's very obvious in the case of religion m but also if you think about the world's Financial system so money has no value
(24:05) except in the stories that we tell and believe each other if you think about gold coins or paper Bank notes or cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin um they have no value in themselves you cannot eat them or drink them or do anything useful with them but you have people telling you very compelling stories about the value of these things and if enough people believe the story then it works they're also protected by language like my cryptocurrency is protected by a bunch of words yeah uh they're created by words and they they
(24:43) function with with words and and and and symbols uh when you communicate with your Banker it's it's with words I mean what happens when AI can uh uh create deep fakes of your everything your voice your image uh the the way you talk the type of words you use so there is already an arms race between Banks and fraudsters I mean we want the easiest communication with our Banker I just pick up the phone I tell a few words and they transfer a million dollars but at the same time I also want want to be protected from an AI that impersonates
(25:20) my my voice and tone of tone of voice and and whatever and this is becoming difficult but on a deeper level again AI could create because money is ultimately made of words of stories AI could create new kinds of money uh the same way that you know cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have been created simply by somebody telling people a story and enough people finding this story convincing and I I guess as a CEO and as as an entrepreneur you know that if you want to get Investments what really get gets Investments is a good
(26:01) story and what happens to the financial system if increasingly our financial stories are told by Ai and what happens to the financial system and even to the political system if AI eventually creates new Financial devices that humans cannot understand already today much of the activity on the world markets is being done by algorithms at such a speed and with such complexity that most people don't understand what's happening there I I if you had to guess what is the percentage of people in the world today that really understand the
(26:47) financial system what would be your kind of less than 1% less than 1% okay let's be kind of conservative about it 1% let's say okay fast forward 10 or 20 years AI creates such complicated Financial devices that there is not a single human being on Earth that understand Finance anymore what are the implications for politics like you vote for a government but none of the humans in the government not the Prime Minister not the Finance Minister nobody understand the financial system they just rely on AI to tell them
(27:27) what is happening is this still a democracy is this still a a human form of government in any way what you say to someone that hears that and goes Ah that's just that's nonsense that's never going to happen why not I mean let's look back 15 years to the last big financial crisis in 20072 2008 this financial crisis to a large extent began with these extremely complicated Financial devices cdos what's that acronym collateral depth something I don't even know what the word letter stands you had these
(28:03) kind of wiiz kids in Wall Street inventing a new Financial device that nobody except them really understood which is why also it wasn't regulated effectively by the Banks and the governments and it worked well for a couple of years and then it brought down the world's Financial system and um what happens if now AIS comes with even more sophisticated Financial devices and for a couple of years everything works well they make trillions of dollars for us and then one day it doesn't one day the system
(28:39) collapses and nobody understands what is happening and uh again it's not that you didn't go to college or whatever no it's just objectively the complexity of the system has reached a point when only an AI is able to Crunch the numbers is able to process enough data to really get to really grasp the shape the Dynamics of of the financial system we're already there though you know I think if anyone does understand how the financial system works and the markets work it is a bunch of homo sapiens relying on a computer to
(29:22) tell it something and it trusting that computer's calculations yeah and and and this will get again more and more complicated and and and sophisticated and for people who say no it's not going to happen the question is what is stopping it I mean you know in all the discussions about AI the kind of dangers that draw people's attention like the poster child of AI dangers is things like AI creating a new virus that kills billions of people a new pmic so you a lot of people concerned about how do we prevent an AI
(30:03) by itself or maybe some small ter organization or even a 16-year-old teenager given an AI a task to create a dangerous virus and release it to the world how do we prevent this and this is a serious concern and we should be concerned about it but this gets a lot more attention then the question how do we prevent the financial system from becoming so complicated that humans can no longer understand it and I see a lot of regulations being uh at least considered how to prevent AI from creating dangerous new viruses um I don't see any
(30:44) kind of effort to keep the financial system at a level that humans understand it what do you think that is uh I mean I had a guess my guess was why would the UK mhm cut off then you know why would they give themselves a disadvantage exactly when you know there it just means that the UK will suffer and if America is using a really Advanced AI algorithm to get ahead we have to keep up yeah it's it's the logic of of the arms race and again it's not all bad I mean uh you have a better Financial system uh you have a more
(31:18) prosperous economy I mean money isn't bad I mean it's the basis for almost all human cooporation and a lot of financial devices in the end if you think what are they they are devices to establish trust between people especially trust between strangers and money in essence is a device for establishing trust I don't know you you don't know me but we both trust this gold coin or piece of paper so we can cooperate on uh sharing food or creating a a medicine and the most sophisticated Financial devices they basically do the
(31:59) same thing stocks and bonds and these cdos they are a method to establish trust and when you open a new bank account the most important thing is how do I trust the bank to really take care of my money and to follow my instructions but not to be open to frauds and things like that and again you as as an investor um when you try to get money from from from or you as an entrepreneur when you try to get money from investors the biggest issue is always trust and if somebody can comes up can can come up with a new uh uh way to
(32:41) establish trust between people that's a good thing but if this new way increasingly depends on non-human Intelligence on again on systems that humans can cannot understand that's the big question what happens to human society when the trust that is at the basis of all social interactions is actually no longer trust in humans it's trust in a non-human intelligence that we don't fully understand and that we cannot anticipate and part of the problem with regulating AI or AI safety it goes back to what we
(33:30) discussed earlier that AI is different from printing presses or radio set or even atom bonds if you want to make nuclear energy safe then you need to think about all the different ways that uh I don't know a nuclear power station can uh uh uh can have an accident and I guess there is a limited number of things that can go wrong and ideally if if you think hard if you have if you have enough people thinking hard enough you can make safe nuclear reactors safe nuclear power stations now but AI is fundamentally
(34:14) different because AI keeps changing it keeps reacting to the world it keeps reacting to you coming up with new inventions new ideas new decisions so making AI safe is a bit like making a nuclear reactor safe taking into account the fact that the nuclear reactor can decide to change in ways that you can't anticipate and even worse it can react to you so if you build a particular safety mechanism for the nuclear reactor what happens if the nuclear reactor say oh they build this mechanism let's do that to somehow get around the safety
(34:56) mechanism we don't have this problem with nuclear reactors but this is the problem with AI we are trying to contain something which is an independent agent and which might actually come to understand us better than we understand it I'm really curious about how this will impact you know you talked about elected officials there and how their systems will be sort of um D their financial decision- making might be driven by algorithms but governments and Authority itself I've pondered recently whether
(35:34) there'll come a day in the not so distant future where we might vote for an algorithm where we might vote for an AI to be our government is that crazy thinking I think we we we're quite a long way off from there we would still want humans at least in the symbolic role of being the Prime Minister the the Member of Parliament whatever the president the real problem is that increasingly these humans could be kind of figureheads or or puppets when the real decisions the most consequential decisions are are made by
(36:15) algorithms be partly because the um it will just be too complicated for the humans at the top to understand the situation or to understand the different options so going back to the financial example so imagine that you know it's it's 4:00 in the morning there is a phone call uh to the Prime Minister from the finance algorithm telling the P the Prime Minister that we are facing a financial meltdown uh and that we have to do something within the next I don't know 30 minutes to prevent a national or
(36:55) Global Financial melt down and there are like three options and the algorithm recommends option A and there was just not enough time to explain to the Prime Minister how did the algorithm reach the conclusion and even what is the meaning of these different options and again people think about this scenario mostly in relation to warh that what happens if you have an algorithm in charge of the your security system and it it alerts you to a massive incoming Cyber attack and you have to react immediately and this could if you
(37:36) react in in a specific way this could mean war with another Nation but you just don't have enough time to understand how the algorithm reached the decision and how the algorithm was also able to determine that of the all the different options this is the best option do you think that humans believe we're more complicated and special than we actually are because I think part of much many of the rebuttal when we talk about artificial intelligence stem back to this idea that we're in you know we're
(38:09) like innately genius creative spiritual special different from you know um artificial intelligence like our our intelligence is somewhat Divine or um we've got Free Will and we you know we yeah I mean it's if the argument is we have free will we have a Divine soul and therefore no algorithm will will ever be able to understand us and to predict our decisions or to manipulate us then this is a very common argument but it's obviously nonsensical I mean even before AI uh it was uh even with previous
(38:59) technology it was possible to a large extent to predict people's behavior and to manipulate them and AI just takes it to the next level now with regard to the discussion of a flee will my my position is you cannot start with the assumption that humans have free will if you start with this assumption then it's uh actually is very it it makes you very incurious lacking curiosity about about yourself about human beings it kind of closes off the investigation before it began um you assume that any decision
(39:44) you make is just a result of My Free Will why did I choose this politician this product uh uh this spouse because it's my free will and if this is your position there is nothing to investigate you just assume you have this kind of divine spark within you that makes all the decisions and there is nothing to investigate there um I would say no start investigating and you'll probably discover that there are a lot of factors whether it's external factors like cultural traditions and also internal factors like biological mechanisms that
(40:27) shape your decisions you chose this politician or this spouse because of certain cultural traditions and because of certain biological mechanisms your DNA your uh uh brain structure whatever and this actually makes it possible for you to get to know yourself better now if after a long investigation you have reached the conclusion that yes there are are cultural influences there are political influences there are genetic and neurological influences but still there is a certain percentage of my decision that cannot be
(41:11) explained by any of these things then okay call It Free Will and we can discuss it but don't start with this assumption because then you lose the incentive to explore yourself and anybody who embarks on such a process of self exploration whether it's in therapy whether it's in meditation whether it's in the laboratory of a brain scientist or uh in as a historian in the archive you will be amazed to discover how much of your decisions are not the result of some mystical free will they are the result
(41:53) of cultural and biological factors and this also means that you are vulnerable to being deciphered and manipulated by political parties by corporations by AI people who have this kind of mystical belief in Free Will are the easiest people to manipulate because they don't think they can be manipulated uh and obviously they can we humans should get used to the idea that we are no longer mysterious Souls we are now hackable animals that's what we are you said that at the world economic Forum yeah again this is the same point
(42:38) basically that it's now possible to hack human beings not just to hack our smartphones our bank accounts our computers but to really hack our brains our minds and to uh uh predict our behavior and manipulate our Behavior more than in any previous time in history the the other line that you said uh which really made me think and Ponder was um as previously human life was about the drama of decision- making and without this we won't have a meaning in life yeah that if you look you know at politics at religion and at
(43:17) culture people told the stories about their lives or the lives of people in in general as a kind of of drama of decision making mhm that you reach a particular Junction in life and you need to choose you need to choose between good and evil you need to choose between political parties you need to choose your what to study at University or what to work what kind of job to to to apply to and our stories revolved around these decisions and what happens to human life if increase in inly the power to make decisions is taken from
(44:01) us and increasingly it's algorithms making all these decisions for us or about us is that possible it's already happening increasingly you know you apply to a bank to get a loan in many places it's no longer a human Banker who is making this decision about you whether to give you a loan whether to give you a mortgage it's an algorithm analyzing billions of bits of data about you and about of millions of other customers or previous loans determining whether you're credit worthy or not and
(44:39) if you ask the bank if they refuse to give you a loan and you ask the bank why didn't you give me a loan and the bank says we don't know the computer said no and we just believe our our our computer our algorithm and it's happening also in the judicial system increasingly that uh um various J judicial decisions verdicts like for how many like the judge decided that you committed some crime the sentence whether to send you to two months or eight months or two years in prison is increasingly determined by an
(45:16) algorithm uh you apply to a place at University you apply to a job this too is increasingly decided by algorithms dating uh dating yes I mean even um even un unknown unbeknown to you the algorithms of the dating apps that you're using are shaping your romantic life but what in a world of you know Robotics and artificial intelligence why do I need to find a person at all why not just have a relationship with with a robot or with an AI yeah uh we do see the beginning of of of this that people are building more and
(46:00) more intimate relationships with non-human intelligences with AIS and Bots and and so forth and this raises a lot of of difficult and and profound questions now part of the problem is that the AIS are built to mimic intimacy that the the ability intimacy is an extremely powerful thing not just in Romance also in the market also in politics if you want to change somebody's mind about anything political issue a commercial uh preference intimacy is kind of the most powerful weapon and somebody you really trust somebody
(46:52) you have intimate relationships with will be able to change your views on a lot of things more than someone you see on TV or just an article you read in newspaper there is a huge incentive for the creators of AIS to create AIS that are able to forge intimate relationships with humans and um this makes us extremely vulnerable to this new type of manipulation that was previously just unimaginable because loneliness is a you know alltime High especially in the sort of Western World and sexlessness and I I was reading some stats about how the
(47:35) like body bottom 50% of men in particular having almost no sex relative to the top sort of 10% and you think you know this disparity the rise of digitalization loneliness we're in our homes on screens more than ever before and then you hear about this industry of AI and sex dolls and all this and you just wonder you play it forward and go yeah it's it's going there and and the thing is that it it's not that that the humans are so stupid or something that they they they kind of project something
(48:07) onto the AI and fall in love with an AI chatbot the AI is deliberately built created trained to fool us to the same way you know you look at the previous 10 years there was a big battle for you attention there was a battle between different social media Giants and whatever how to grab human attention and they created algorithms that were really amazing at grabbing people's attention and now they are doing the same thing but with intimacy and we are extremely exposed we are extremely vulnerable to it now the
(48:52) big problem is and and again this is where it it gets kind of really philosophical that what humans really want or need from a relationship is to be in touch with another conscious entity a an intimate relationship is not just about providing my needs then it's exploitative then it's abusive if you're in a relationship and the only thing you think about is how how would I feel better how would my needs be provided for then this is a very abusive situation uh a a really healthy relationship is when it goes both ways
(49:37) you also care about the feelings and the needs of the other person of the other entity now what happens if the other entity has no feelings has no emotional needs because it has no consciousness that's the big question question and there is a huge confusion between Consciousness and intelligence AI is artificial intelligence but what exactly is the relation between intelligence and Consciousness now intelligence is the ability to solve problems to win a chess to invest money to drive a car this is intelligence
(50:23) Consciousness is the ability to feel things like pain and pleasure and love and hate and sadness and anger and and so many other things now in humans and also in other mammals intelligence and Consciousness actually go together we solve problems by having feelings but computers are fundamentally different they are already more intelligent than us in at least several narrow Fields but they have zero Consciousness they don't feel anything when they beat us at chess or go or some other game they don't feel joyful and
(51:07) happy if they make a wrong move they don't feel sad or or angry they have zero Consciousness as far as we can tell they might soon be far more intelligent than us and still have zero Consciousness now now what happens when you are in a relationship with an entity Which is far more intelligent than you and can also imitate mimic Consciousness it it knows how to solve the problem of making you feel as if it is conscious but it still has no feelings of its own and this is a very disturbing vision of the future because it opens us up to
(52:00) manipulation is that what you're saying it first of all it opens us to manipulation but also it uh uh the big question what does it mean for the health of our own mind of our own psyche if we are in a relationship or or many of our important relationship in life are with non-conscious entities that uh that they don't really have any feelings of their own again they are very good at faking at faking it they're very good at catering to our feelings but um again it's just it's just manipulation in the end are you
(52:43) optimistic about the happiness of humans going forward or do you think happiness will take its own you know I've heard you talk about how happiness might just become a bio biochemical I don't know prescription or something yeah I mean we don't have a good track record with regard to happiness if you look at the last 100,000 years from say the Stone Age until the 21st century you see a dramatic rise in human power we are thousands of times more powerful as a species and as individuals than we were in the stone AG we are not
(53:21) thousands of times happier we just don't really know how to translate power into happiness and this is very clear when you look at the lives of the most powerful people in the world that there is no correlation between how rich and Powerful you are and how happy you are as as as as a person I mean I I don't have the I don't get the impression that people like I don't know Vladimir Putin or Elon Musk are the happiest people in the world even though they are they are some of the most powerful people in the
(54:00) world so there is no reason to think that as Humanity gets even more powerful in coming decades we will get any happier and understanding happiness is about understanding the Deep dynamics of of not not even the brain but of the Mind Of Consciousness and we are just not there yet um we are very very and and the related problem is that humans usually understand how to manipulate something long before they understand the consequences of the manipulations if you look at the outside world at the ecological system we have
(54:46) learned how to cut forests how to build huge dams over rivers long before we understood what will be the consequences for the ecological system which is why we now have this ecological crisis we manipulated the world without understanding the consequences something similar might happen with the world inside us with more powerful medicines with brain computer interfaces with genetic engineering and and so forth we are gaining the power to manipulate our internal world the world within us but again the power to manipulate is not the
(55:35) same thing as understanding the complexity of the system and the consequences of the manipulation a related manipulation there is immortality and our pursuit of it I've sat with people on this podcast who are committing their lives to staying alive forever and there's a three line there between our desire to be immortal you know you know the rise and the scientific discoveries that are enabling that and our happiness I I've often thought you know much of the reason why things are special in my life is because
(56:05) they're scarce including my time yeah and I I always I almost wonder about the psychological um issues I would face if I knew I was Immortal like if I knew that the partner I'm with doesn't come at the expense of another one I can be with you know at years old and the car you know the choices you make I think what makes them SC valued are their scarcity MH against the backdrop of an of a finite life uh yeah it will definitely change everything if you think about relations between parents and children so if you
(56:43) live forever so the 20 years you raised uh uh you spent raising somebody 2,000 years ago what do they mean now but I think long before we get to that point I mean most of these people are going to be incredibly disappointed because it will not happen within their lifetime another related problem is that we will not get to immortality we will get to something that maybe should be called a mortality that immortality is that like your your God you can never die no matter what happens it's even if we solve cancer and Alzheimer and dementia
(57:24) and whatever we will not get there we will get to kind of a life without a definitive expiry date that you can live indefinitely you can go every 10 years to a clinic and get yourself reu rejuvenated but if a bus runs you over or your airplanes explodes or a terrorist kills you you're dead and you're not coming back to life now realizing that you have a chance to live forever but if there is an accident you die this creates a level of anxiety and Terror unlike anything that we know in our own lives I think the people who
(58:10) will will be in that situation will be extremely anxious and miserable and another issue is you know people often spend so much effort trying to to get gain something get something without really understanding what are they going to why what will you do with it what is so good about it you know like people spend so much effort to to get have more and more money instead of thinking what will I actually do with that money so it's the same with you know the people who want to extend life forever what is so good about life that
(58:52) what will you do with it and if you know it why don't you do it already that uh you know I hear people saying about how how precious human consciousness is why what do you think so precious and whatever it is why don't you do it right now I mean why spend your life developing some kind of treatment that will uh extend your Consciousness for a thousand years just spend your time doing now whatever you think you would be doing with your Consciousness a thousand years from now so if they were to say you bet
(59:37) it'll give me more time with my family you're saying just instead of wasting your time just like exactly so you know somebody has no time for their family at all right now because they are busy developing the kind of uh uh miracle cure that will enable them to spend time with with their family in 200 years this makes no sense I think about the disparity that artificial intelligence and these forms of sort of bioengineering might create because it's conceivable that the rich will gain access to these Technologies
(1:00:10) first yeah and then you know when we think about bioengineering being able to sort of play with our genetic code that means if I for example manag to get my hands on some kind of bio engineering treatment to make sure that my kids maybe a little bit smarter maybe a little bit stronger whatever then you're going to start a sort of genetic chain of modified children that are superior in intelligence and strength and whatever else might be desirable and then you have this disparity in society where you have like the you know one humans one
(1:00:44) set of humans are on a completely different exponential trajectory and the other humans are you know yeah they behind yeah this is extremely dangerous uh I think we just shouldn't go there that we shouldn't invest a lot of resources efforts in developing these kinds of up upgrades and enhancements that are very likely at least at first to be The Preserve of a small Elite and to translate economic inequality into biological inequality and to basically split the the human species to to split Homo sapiens into
(1:01:29) you know a ruling class of super humans and and the rest of us this is a very very dangerous development related to that is the problem that I don't think it will be these will be upgrades at all what worries me is that a lot of these things will turn out actually to be downgrades that we again we don't understand our bodies our brains our minds well enough to know what will be the consequences of tweaking our genetic code or of um I don't know implanting all kinds of devices into our brains people who think that this will
(1:02:18) enable them let's say to upgrade their intelligence they don't know what the side effects will be it could be that the same treatment that increases your intelligence also decreases your compassion or your spiritual depth or whatever and the danger is that especially if this technology is in the hands of powerful corporations armies governments they will enhance those qualities that they want like intelligence and like discipline while disregarding uh other qualities which could be even more important for for
(1:03:06) human flourishing like Compassion or like artistic sensitivity or like spirituality if I think about somebody again like Putin what would he do with this type of Technology then yes he would like an army of super intelligent and super loyal soldiers and if this soldiers don't don't have any compassion or any spiritual depth all the better for him but that speaks to the arms race and you know you said you we think we shouldn't but China will see that as an opportunity or Putin will see that as an
(1:03:38) opportunity if the if the Western World if the United States or the UK don't and so again it comes back to this point of you know we're screwed if we're damned if we do with Dam if we don't I'm not sure that in this case it it works uh because again a lot of these upgrades are likely to have um detrimental side effects both for the person in question and for the society as a whole and I think that in this case societies that will choose to be uh uh progress more slowly and safely they will actually have an advantage it's
(1:04:19) like if you say you know there is some other country where they don't have any brakes or on their cars and they don't have any seat belts and they release new medicines without checking their side effects they're moving so fast we are left behind no it makes no sense to to to imitate them this will actually ruin their societies you don't want to imitate these kinds of of harmful effects uh with development of AI it's different I think there the advantages in things like Finance like the military
(1:04:54) will be so big that an ai ai arms race is almost inevitable but with trying to kind of bioengineer humans if you go too fast it will be this self-destructive so we can take it more slowly and safely and without being kind of left behind in an arms race you said on the Tim Ferris podcast The best scenario is that homo sapiens will disappear but in a peaceful and grad way and be replaced by something better it's quite a um uncomfortable statement to to listen to I think that again the the the type of technologies that we are now
(1:05:36) developing when you combine them with the human ambition to uh um you know to to improve ourselves it's almost inevitable that we will use these Technologies to change ourselves the question is whether we will do it slowly and responsibly enough for the consequences to be beneficial but the idea that we can now develop these extremely powerful tools of bioengineering and Ai and remain the way we are will'll still be the same Homo sapiens in 200 years in 500 years in 1,000 years we'll have all these tools to connect brain to
(1:06:23) computers to to kind of re-engineer our genetic code and we won't do it I think this is unlikely one of the outstanding questions that I have and one of the sort of observations I've had is people like Sam Alman um the founder of open AI that made chat GPT started working on universal basic income products like worldcoin and I thought do you know what that's curious that the people that are at the very Forefront of this AI Revolution are now trying to solve the second problem they see coming which is
(1:06:53) people not having jobs essentially is is that do you think that's a because you know every I've spoken a lot this year on stages and this is one of the questions I always get asked is the implications of AI on the and jobs as we know it in the workforce is it realistic to believe that most jobs will disappear as we know them today I think many jobs maybe most jobs will disappear but new jobs will emerge you know most jobs that people do today didn't exist 200 years ago like this uh yeah like this doing a
(1:07:31) podcast and there will be new jobs the really big problem will be how to retrain people uh it Demands a lot of financial support also psychological support for people to kind of relearn retrain reinvent themselves and doing it not just once but repeatedly through throughout their career throughout their lives the AI Revolution will not be a single Watershed event like you have the big AI revolution in 2030 you lose 60% of jobs you create lots of new jobs you have 10 difficult Years everybody adjusting adapting reskilling whatever
(1:08:15) and then everything settles Downs to a new equilibrium it won't be like that AI is nowhere near its full potential so you will have a lot of changes by 2030 even more changes by 2040 even more changes by 2050 you will have new jobs but the new jobs too will change and disappear what new jobs in a world where intelligence is disrupted what what jobs are left because you say you're going to retrain me I'm like you I'm not going to be able to keep up with an AI That's retraining every second I I'm not sure I mean some of the
(1:08:50) answers might be counterintuitive that that um at least at present we see that AI is extremely good at automating jobs that only require cognitive skills but they are not good at jobs that require motor skills and social skills so if you think about say doctors and nurses so at least those types of doctors who are only doing cognitive work they read out I Les they get your medical results all kinds of tests and and and and and and whatever they diagnose your disease and they decide on a course of treatment this is purely cognitive work this is
(1:09:37) the easiest thing to automate but if you think about a nurse that has to replace a bandage to a crying child this is much more difficult to automate you don't think that's possible to automate I I think it is possible but not now you need very delicate motor skills and also social skills to do that did you see elon's video the other day with um the Tesla robot I see a lot of these videos it's it's getting the egg and it's cracking the egg and it's going like this no again I'm not saying it's impossible I'm
(1:10:12) just saying it will take longer it's more difficult again there is also the social aspect if you think about self-driving Vehicles the biggest problem for self-driving Vehicles is humans I mean not the not just the the human drivers it's the pedestrians it's the it's the passengers how do you deal with a drunken passenger whatever so uh again it's not impossible but it's much more difficult so again I think that there will be new jobs at least in the foreseeable future the problem will will be to retrain people
(1:10:50) and the biggest problem of all will be on the global level not on the national level I when I hear people talk about Universal basic income the first question to ask is is it Universal or national is it a system that let's say raises taxes on big Tech corporations in Silicon Valley in California and uses the money to provide basic services and also retraining courses for people in Ohio and Pennsylvania or does it also apply to people in Guatemala and Pakistan I mean what happens when it becomes cheaper to produce shirts with
(1:11:38) robots in California than in Guatemala and in Mexico uh does Sam Altman has a vision of the US government raising taxes in California and sending the money to Guatemala to support the people there if the answer is no we are not talking about Universal basic income we are only talking about National basic income in the US then what happens to the people in Guatemala that's the that's the biggest question and a sub question to that is about how one should be educating our our children and our education institutions as they are today because
(1:12:14) with what's to come um makes me wonder what what skill would be worth investing you know 10 12 years into a child that I had um nobody has any idea I mean if you think about specific skills then this is the first time in history when we have no idea how the job market or how society would look like in 20 years so we don't know what specific skills people will need if you think back in history so it was never possible to predict the future but at least people knew what kind of skills will be be needed in a couple of decades if you
(1:12:56) live I don't know in England in uh uh 10 203 a thousand years ago you don't know what will happen in in 30 years maybe the Normans will invade or the Vikings or the Scots or whoever maybe there'll be an earthquake maybe there'll be a new pandemic anything can happen you can't predict but you still have a very good idea of how the economy would look like and how human society would look like in the 1050s or the 1060s you know that most people will still be Farmers you know it's a good idea to teach your kids
(1:13:38) how to uh harvest wheat how to bake bread how to ride a horse how to shoot and bow an arrow these things will still be necessary in 30 years if you now look 30 years to the Future nobody has any idea what kind of skills will be needed if you think for instance okay this is the age of AI computers I will teach my kids how to code computers maybe in 30 years humans no longer code anything because AI is so much better than us at writing code um so what should we focus on I would say the only thing we can be certain about is that 30 years from now
(1:14:22) the world will be extreme ex volatile extremely it will keep changing at an Ever rapid Pace do you think this is going to inre increase the amount of conflict because I watched a video on your YouTube channel where you said the return of Wars yeah uh that's one of the dangers that there is and we see it all all over the world now uh like 10 years ago we were in the most peaceful era in human history and unfortunately this era is over we are now in a new era of wars and potentially of imperialism and we are seeing it all
(1:14:59) over the world uh with the Russian invasion of Ukraine now is the war in the Middle East uh Venezuela and Guyana some East Asia war is is is back on the table it's not just because of the rapid changes and the upheavals they cause it's also because um you know 10 years ago we had a global order the liberal order which was far from perfect but it still kind of regulated relations between nations between countries based on an idea on on the liberal worldview that despite our national differences all humans share
(1:15:45) certain basic experiences and needs and interests which is why it makes sense for us to work together to diffuse conflicts and to uh uh um solve our common problems it was far from perfect but it did create the most peaceful era in human history then this order was repeatedly attacked not only from outside from forces like Russia or North Korea or Iran that never accepted this order but also from the inside even from the United States uh which was the architect to a large extent of of this order with the election of Donald
(1:16:32) Trump which says I don't care about any kind of Global Order i' only care about my own nation and you see this way of thinking that I only care about my the interests of my nation more and more around the world now the big question to ask is if all the nations think like that what regulates the relations between them and there was no alternative nobody came up with with the and said okay I don't like the Liberal Liberal Global Order I have a better suggestion for how to manage relations between different
(1:17:13) nations they just destroyed the existing order without offering an alternative and the alternative to order is simply dis order and this is now where we find ourselves do you think there's more Wars on the way yes unless unless we reestablish order there will be more and worse Wars uh coming in the next few years in more and more areas around the world you see defense budgets all over the world uh uh sky rocketing and this is a vicious circle when your neighbors incre inre their military budget you feel compelled to do the same and then they
(1:17:58) increase their budget even more you know when I say that the early 21st century was the most peaceful era in human history it's one of the indications is how uh how low the military budgets all over the world were for most of History Kings and Emperors and cons and Sultans they the military was the number one item on their budget they spent more on their soldiers and navies and fortresses than on anything else in the early 21st century most countries spend something like a few percentage points of their of
(1:18:46) their budget on on the military Education Health Care welfare were a much more a much bigger item on the budget than defense and this is now changing the money is increasingly going to tanks and missiles and cble weapons instead of to nurses and and schools and and social workers and again it's not inevitable it's the result of human decisions the relatively peaceful era of the early 2st Century it did not result from some miracle it resulted from humans making wise decisions in previous decades what
(1:19:31) are the wise decisions we need to make now in your view reinvest in in rebuilding a global order which is based on universal values and norms and not just on the narrow interests of of specific nation states are you concerned that Trump might be elected again short I think it's very likely and if it happens it is likely to be the kind of like the death blow to what remains of the global order and he says it and he says it openly now again it should be clear that many of these politicians they present a false neotoy a false binary
(1:20:16) vision of the world as if you have to choose between patriotism and globalism between being loyal to your nation and being loyal to some kind of I don't know Global government or whatever and this is completely false there is no contradiction between patriotism and Global cooperation when we talk about global cooperation we definitely don't have in mind at least not anybody that I know a global government this is an impossible and very dangerous idea it simply means that um you have certain rules and norms
(1:20:57) for how different nation states treat each other and and and and and and behave towards each other if you don't have a system of of global norms and values then very quickly what you have is just global conflict is just Wars I mean some people have this idea they imagine the world as a network of friendly fortresses like each Nation will be a fortress with very high walls taking care of its own interest interests but uh living on relatively friendly terms with the neighboring fortresses trading with them
(1:21:40) and and and whatever now the main problem with this vision is that fortresses are almost never friendly each Fortress always wants a bit more land a bit more prosper erity a bit more security for itself at the expense of the neighbors and uh this is the high road to conflict and to and to and to war and to war there's that phrase isn't there ignorance is bliss now something that your work has forced you and continues to encourage you to not live in is ignorance so with that one might logically deduce that out the window goes your
(1:22:22) bliss um are you are you happy I think I'm relatively happy at least happier than I was uh for most of my life I part of it is is that I invest a lot of my time not just in you know researching what is happening in the world but also in the health of my own mind and you know keeping a kind of balanced information diet that it's it's it's basically like with food you need food in order to survive and to be healthy but if you eat too much or if you eat too much of the wrong stuff it's it's bad for you and
(1:23:12) it's exactly the same with information information is the the food of the mind and if you eat too much of it of the wrong kind you'll get a very thick mind so I uh I try to to keep a very balanced uh information diet which also includes information fasts so I try to disconnect I um every day I dedicate two hours a day for meditation wow and every year I go for a long Meditation Retreat of between 30 and 60 days like in complete completely disconnecting no phones no emails not even books um just observing myself observing
(1:24:02) what is happening inside my body and inside my mind getting to know myself better and kind of digesting all the information that I absorbed during the rest of the year or the rest of the day have you seen a clear benefit in doing that uh yes very very clear I don't think I would be able to write these books or to do what I'm doing um without these kind with this kind of information diet and and without kind of devoting a lot of time and attention to the balancing my mind and keeping it healthy you know so many
(1:24:41) people spend so much time keeping their body healthy which is very important of course but we need to spend equal amount of attention with with our mind it is as important as as our body when you said you don't think you'd be able to do what you do if you didn't take these information diets why I'll just you know um first of all be just overwhelmed and uh uh not have any kind of peace of mind not have any kind of perspective if you're constantly in the news cycle in the information cycle you
(1:25:17) lose all perspective you know organic entities un like AIS un like computers we are cyclical entities we need to sleep every day AIS don't sleep you know even the Stock Exchange closes every afternoon it closes also for the weekend Al so for Christmas if you think about it this is amazing that you know if if a war erupts in Christmas uh uh the Wall Street will be able to react only after a couple of days because the people are on holiday they they took time off even the money market takes time off but if you give AI
(1:26:06) full control there will never be any time off it will be 24 hours a day 365 days a year and people just collapse I mean I think part of the problem that politicians today face is that um they need to be on 24 hours a day because the news cycle is on 24 hours a day like in previous eras if you're I don't know a king in the Middle Ages and you you you you ride some you go somewhere you're on the road in your courage and nobody can reach you even if the French are invading nobody can reach you you have
(1:26:45) some time off if you're a prime minister now there is no time off and computers are built for it but human brains aren't if you try to keep an organic entity H awake and kind of constantly processing information and reacting 24 hours a day it will very soon collapse it's funny it made me think of what the for I think it's the former Netflix CEO or one of the Netflix CEOs or someone said um they said our biggest competitor is sleep sleep yeah that's a very scary and and very I think important line and
(1:27:25) it's a very honest line it's a very honest line and it's scary because um if people don't sleep they collapse and eventually they die and this is Again part of the problem that we talked earlier about about the Battle for human attention in social media in streaming services now for many of these corporations they measure their success by user engagement the more people are engaged the more successful we are now user engagement is a very broad definition according to this measurement one hour of outrage is better than 10
(1:28:11) minutes of joy and uh uh certainly better than one hour of sleep because one hour of outrage I will consume three adverts yes and then that means that the corporation make $30 for example yeah and and from two hours of sleep they make nothing from 10 minutes of Joy maybe they sell only one ad and but from the Viewpoint of of how humans function and how this organism function 10 minutes of Joy are probably better than for us than one hour of outrage and certainly we need not just two hours we need six seven eight hours of sleep well this is why
(1:28:55) you know the algorithms on on certain platforms specifically Tik Tok mhm are just absolutely addictive to say the least like I because they hacked us yeah they it's literally they you know tck we had you know a certain level of addiction to the previous social algorithms and then Tik Tok came along and said hold my beer and they just went for it you know and and they've won because of that see 60y olds absolutely addicted to Tik Tok and because they don't understand the concept of an algorithm sometimes um and
(1:29:32) they don't understand like the the advertising model and all of that stuff it's it's hypnotism they're like absolutely hypnotized my funnily enough my driver is one of them so my driver's outside whenever I walk up to his car he's just like this on Tik Tok he's scrolling and I I had a conversation with him last night I'm like do you realize that Tik Tok has your brain yeah you know AB you know and we're just at the very foot sort of the first steps of an exponential curve of algorithms
(1:29:59) competing for our attention in our brain we haven't seen anything yet I mean these algorithms they are what like 10 years old in terms of you think about these social media algorithms and the algorithms that get to know you personally to hack your brain and then grab your attention it's they are 10 years old and the companies die if they don't beat the other algorithms so like Twitter now when Elon took it over and I think people will relate to this if you use Twitter suddenly I've seen more
(1:30:27) people having their heads blown off and being hit by cars on Twitter than I'd ever seen in the previous 10 years it's and I think someone at Twitter's gone listen this company's going to die unless we we increase time spent on this platform and show more ads so let's start serving up a more addictive algorithm and that requires a response from Instagram and the other PL and so it's a real and know Elon has this other company the boring company yeah which is about boring tunnels of course but
(1:30:53) actually it might be a good idea to make Twitter more boring and to make Tik Tok more boring I mean I know it's it's a very bad kind of business decision but I don't think Humanity Will Survive unless we have more boredom if you ask me what is wrong with the world in 20123 is that uh everybody is far too excited and I if I had to kind of summarize what's wrong in one word the word is excited and people don't understand the meaning of this word people think that excited means happy like two people meet I'm so excited to
(1:31:36) meet you I have a new idea I publish a new book whatever oh this is such a such an exciting idea such an exciting book and exciting isn't happy exciting isn't always good sometimes yes sometimes it's good to be excited and organ ISM that is excited all the time dies the meaning of excitement is that you know the body is in flight or fight mode all the nerves are on all the neurons are firing all the muscles are tense this is excitement and very often negative things excite us fear excit fear is excitement hate is excitement anger is
(1:32:21) excitement and um you know it's when I meet a good friend I'm often relaxed to meet a friend not excited and on a much kind you know think about the political level we have far too many exciting politicians doing very exciting things and we need more boring politicians more bidens to do less less exciting uh uh uh things and and but the brain is wired to pay attention to excitement and to Crave it but the brain evolved in situations when you didn't have a constant stream of exciting videos sometimes it was on sometimes it
(1:33:07) was off and now our brains have been hacked and these devices Technologies they know how to create constant excitement and the more before this happens we also lose our ability our skill to be bored that if we have to spend a few minutes doing nothing somewhere waiting we can't do it we immediately take out the smartphone and start watching Tik Tok or scrolling through Twitter or whatever did you hear about that experiment where people would rather take an electric shock than do nothing yeah and you know
(1:33:51) you you can't get for instance to any level of peace of mind if you don't know how to handle boredom that peace and boredom are are the same way that excitement and outrage are neighbors peace and boredom are also neighbors and if you don't know how to handle bordedom if the minute there is a hint of boredom you run away to some exciting thing you will never experience peace of mind and people if if if humans don't experience peace of mind there is no way that the world as a whole is going to be
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(1:36:22) something I've never said when hu first made their bar many many years ago I tried it and I didn't like it so I've never talked about it on this podcast they've spent roughly the last 2 to three years making a brand new bar which I absolutely love if you want to order them yourself and get started on your hu Journey the link is in the description below in this podcast episode wherever you're listening to it there'll be a Stevens bundle link and check it out back to the episode if I could give you
(1:36:46) the choice to be born in 1976 as you were yeah or to be born now I would go from 1976 I mean the people of my generation we were privileged to grow up in one of the most peaceful and most optimistic eras in human history the end of the Cold War the fall of the Iron Curtain I don't know of any better time uh but when I look at what is happening right now I don't envy the people who grow up in the 2020s what is the closing statement of Hope and solution that kind of ties off this conversation what is the thing that having someone
(1:37:39) gotten to this point in the conversation they should be thinking about doing which will cause the domino effect that will lead us to maybe more hopeful future but we still have agency I mean the algorithms are not yet in in full control they are taking power away from us but most power is still in human hands and every human being has some level of of power of agency which means that each one of us has some responsibility now nobody can solve all the world's problems so focus on one thing find the one thing which is close
(1:38:19) to your heart which you have a deep understanding of and uh and and and and try to make a difference there and the best way to make a difference is to cooperate with other people when the human superpower is our ability to cooperate in large numbers so if you care about a specific issue don't try to be an isolated activist 50 individuals who cooperate as part of an organization can uh do much much more than 500 isolated activists individuals so and find your one thing and again don't try to do everything let
(1:39:03) other people do the rest and cooperate with other people on on your chosen Mission yal your book sapiens changed the world in many ways it gave us A New Perspective and a new understanding of who we are as as humans where we've come from and with that we have aad map for where we're going it's celebrating its 10th anniversary I have the 10th anniversary edition here which I'm going to beg you to sign for me after um and it really is a once in a generation book the numbers that I have are that it sold
(1:39:36) more than 25 million copies and that's in a market where people said no one's buying books anymore that's crazy that's absolutely that's absolutely crazy you you working on a new book which I'm very excited to hear about I'm sure that a little birdie told me that I'll be announcing next year and I'm sure everyone's incredibly energized about that um what is the I ask the people the question sometimes just as a way to to close off the show but I wanted to ask you it because it's especially pertinent
(1:40:01) to someone that's got such a huge varying wealth of work is there one particular topic that is pertinent to our future that we didn't talk about I I would say that when we talk about the future um he's history is is more relevant than ever before history is not really the study of the past history is the study of change of how things change you nobody cares about the past for the sake of the past all the people who lived in the Middle Ages or in the uh uh ancient Rome they all they're all dead they we can't do anything about
(1:40:51) their disasters and their misery we can't correct any of the wrongs that happened in ancient times um and they don't care what we say about them you can say anything you want about the Romans the Vikings they they are gone they don't care the reason to study the past is because if you understand the Dynamics of change in previous centuries in previous eras this gives you perspective uh on the process of of change in in the present moment and I think the curse of history is that people have this fantasy
(1:41:34) of changing the past of bringing Justice to the past and this is just impossible you cannot go back there and and save the people there the big question is how do you um save the people now how do you prevent catastroph new catastrophes perhaps from from happening and this is the reason to to study history and the main message of of history is that humans created the world in which we live the world that we know with nation states and corporations and capitalist economics and uh uh religions like Christianity and Hinduism humans created
(1:42:24) this world and humans can also change it if there is something about the world that you think is unfair is dangerous is problematic then and some things are beyond our control the laws of physics are beyond our control so far the laws of biology are also beyond our control but knowing what is natural what is the outcome of physics and biology versus what is the outcome of human inventions human stories human institutions this is very difficult a lot of things that people think are just natural this is the way
(1:43:13) the world is this is biology this is physics they are not they are actually the result of historical processes and this is why it's so important to understand history to understand how things change and to understand what can be changed we have a closing tradition on this podcast where the last guest leaves a question for the next guest not knowing who they're going to be leaving it for oh the question that's been left for you if you could impose a global law but only one Global law what would it be
(1:43:46) and why oh great question for you I would say people should consume less information and spend more time reflecting and digesting what they already know what they already heard thank you youa it means um a huge amount to me that someone of your esteem and someone that whose books have inspired me and turned the lights on in so many areas of my life um would have this conversation with me today so I thank you so much for that but also for turning the lights on to the hundreds of millions of people that have consumed
(1:44:22) your work all around the world the videos the books etc etc as you said there it's the most important work because it helps us looking back at history in a way that is accessible um and inclusive in a way that even I could read without having to be a historian or understand very complex subject matter so thank you so so so much thank you it's been great to to be here if you listen to this podcast frequently there's something I talk about very often and that is the subject of sleep and so I dug down a pretty deep
(1:44:54) sleep Rabbit Hole to figure out how I could sleep better one of the things that I found is a brand called Eight sleep that sponsored this podcast and that is the cover that I have on my bed I saw the variance in my performance my ability to talk my mood and everything that matters to me when I'm unslept it regulates the temperature of both sides of my bed individually so my partner can have cold I can have a little bit warmer and it learns about my body and sets my bed the temperature that I need to have
(1:45:24) optimal sleep the brands that I talk about on this this show the podcast sponsors that I have are brands that I love and use and eight sleep is one of them they've made that piece of foam that we all sleep on for eight hours a day smart I've put a link in the description below but you can go to 8sleep.
(1:45:42) com stepen for exclusive holiday savings do you need a podcast to listen to next we've discovered that people who liked this episode also tend to absolutely love another recent episode we've done so I've linked that episode in the description below I know you'll enjoy [Music] it
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